riennevaplus 5pts It seems that both Wilders and Le Pen are having trouble in the polls. Wilders is cancelling media interviews while more serious politicians are now bisecting his customer base (Wilders, like Le Pen has an impossible combination of value propositions: an atavistic/nationalistic protest against multiculturalism (already moribund in Holland but for lack of other themes still on the shelf) and impossible populist economic offerings: impossible tax cuts, more spending on health care, lowering the pensionable age etc ) . So centre right is eating in his market share on law and order and with more realistic solutions to social problems and the left is outcompeting him on benefits.A problem is that the number of seats going to meaningless parties (parties who do not want to govern, have excluded too many coalition parties etc) is getting quite high, roughly 40% of the total. One can be sure Wilders will not participate in govt in any way; that takes away between 16 and 22%, the Socialists (not to be confused with Labour, the Socialists are a reincarnation of a maoist movement plus remnants of the old Communists) have declared that they will not share gvt with the traditional Liberals (Liberals plus Christian Democrats in Holland would be the equivalent of the Tories in the UK). The new liberals (D66) can share gvt with everyone and it is undesirable to include the small conservative Christians, the party for the aged (50+) and the single issue ones (Anumal Party). All in all the least impossible coalition would be a core of LIberals, New Liberals, Crhristian Democrats (with support from the conservative Christians on non-life issues) plus the Social Democrats or the Greens. The latter party that has swollen rapidly with telegenic extremely young (29) and clearly non-elite (high school drop-out) leader Klaver probably holds the key. The Greens have some very competent ministerial candidates but with a support base that is as much opposed to the status quo, it would be difficult for those to participate in government because that would finish their political careers.