Brexit Poll of the Week: EU referendum is neck and neck according to online polls

Remain 41%
Leave 41%
Undecided 13%
Will not vote 4%
The latest online YouGov poll for The Times has Remain and Leave tied on 41%, with 13% undecided and 4% saying they would not vote in the EU referendum.Source: YouGov

Brexit Poll

The latest online YouGov poll for The Times has Remain and Leave tied on 41%, with 13% undecided and 4% saying they would not vote in the EU referendum. In contrast to some other polling companies’ polls, which have found increasing support for Remain among Conservative voters and older voters, the YouGov poll finds only 35% of 2015 Tory voters  back Remain, as well as 36% of voters aged over 65. The poll also found that only 18% of voters trust Prime Minister David Cameron on the issue of Europe, down two points. Boris Johnson is trusted by 31% of voters followed by Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn on 28% and UKIP leader Nigel Farage on 22% with Justice Secretary Michael Gove on 16%. A separate ICM online poll also has Remain and Leave tied on 45% with 10% undecided.

Brexit Study

Open Europe has conducted comprehensive studies of UK withdrawal from the EU and simulated UK-EU negotiations involving key politicians from across Europe:

  • Our original Brexit report draws on detailed economic modelling to assess the impact of different Brexit scenarios.
  • The follow-up Brexit II report looks at recommendations for liberal policies in the fields of trade, immigration and regulation, which we believe are required in the event of a Brexit in order to offset the costs and maximise the economic benefits.
  • Involving key politicians from across Europe, we have simulated UK-EU negotiations for two main scenarios: (1) the UK seeking a new deal after having left the EU and (2) the UK renegotiating EU reform from within.

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